Join Us on June 12 – Russia’s Future: A Challenge for U.S. Policy
Announcing – Promethean Liberation: Russia’s Emerging National and Regional Movements
OUT NOW – Pivotal Poland: Europe’s Rising Power
Georgia Shifts Eastward Amid Strained Western Ties
Executive Summary: Georgia is increasingly turning toward the People’s Republic of China (PRC), Iran, and the United Arab Emirates, marking a sharp shift away from its traditional Western allies. Economic ties with these countries have... MORE
Some Russians Claim FSB Failed to Block Ukrainian Drone Attacks Due to Focus on LGBT+ Repression
Executive Summary: Some Russians are claiming on social networks that the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) failed to anticipate and block Ukraine’s Operation Spider’s Web attacks because it is preoccupied with suppressing LGBT+ groups and... MORE
Kazakhstan Increases Railway Capacity Along Trans-Caspian International Transport Route
Executive Summary: Kazakhstan is expanding rail cargo capacity on the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route (TITR), which uses Kazakhstan to bypass Russian infrastructure between the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and Europe. Major investments, including a... MORE
Kremlin Increases Anti-Poland Propaganda
Executive Summary: Russia is intensifying its hybrid warfare against Poland through cyberattacks, sabotage, and disinformation, while portraying Polish defensive actions as provocations to fuel domestic narratives and justify ongoing hostility. Kremlin propaganda is beginning to... MORE
Russian Retribution For Daring Ukrainian Strike is Postponed, Perhaps Indefinitely
Executive Summary: Ukraine’s June 1 strike on four Russian airbases exposed severe vulnerabilities in Russia’s air defenses, prompting patriotic outcries and demands for retaliation despite censorship and subdued official responses. Russia’s retaliatory strike on June... MORE
New Rules Advance Data-Based Governance System
Executive Summary: New regulations that seek to build an integrated national system for sharing government affairs data are intended to boost the Party’s dual priorities of boosting innovation and safeguarding security. The regulations aim to... MORE
Fracturing Transatlantic Convergence, One Capital at a Time
Executive Summary: In the wake of U.S.–China trade talks in Geneva, Beijing launched a sequenced campaign across Europe—first signaling partnership, then reinforcing its trade credentials through multilateral forums, and finally engaging in targeted bilateral diplomacy.... MORE
Hongmen Associations Have Links to United Front and Organized Crime
Executive Summary: Hongmen associations, with historical roots in Qing-era secret societies, have become entangled in Chinese Communist Party (CCP) united front efforts abroad, particularly through patriotic messaging promoting unification with Taiwan. Their mythologized origins and... MORE
Experts See Risk and Reward to Integrating AI in Nuclear Weapons
Executive Summary: Chinese experts see potential in the ability of cyberattacks enabled by artificial intelligence (AI) to disrupt nuclear infrastructure and increase the pressure to use nuclear weapons in a crisis. The development of early... MORE